BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
NC State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
NC State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.18 |
34.86 (+9.67) |
24.33 |
26.02 (+1.69) |
29.33 (+3.31) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
333.09 |
353.73 (+20.64) |
324.33 |
323.82 (-0.52) |
335.03 (+11.22) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.05 |
5.32 (+0.26) |
5.48 |
5.64 (+0.16) |
5.52 (-0.12) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.36 |
16.45 (-4.92) |
34.17 |
31.69 (-2.47) |
25.98 (-5.72) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
335.82 |
319.33 (-16.49) |
388.00 |
349.62 (-38.38) |
338.26 (-11.36) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.56 |
5.29 (-0.27) |
5.87 |
5.87 (-0.01) |
5.65 (-0.22) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Western Carolina |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-21 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Tennessee |
20.61 |
37.99 |
+17.38 |
58.61 |
22.12% |
L 10-51 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Louisiana Tech |
38.53 |
19.04 |
-19.49 |
57.57 |
81.26% |
W 30-20 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Clemson |
25.17 |
41.63 |
+16.47 |
66.80 |
23.59% |
L 35-59 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Northern Illinois |
29.14 |
18.99 |
-10.15 |
48.13 |
66.28% |
W 24-17 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Wake Forest |
35.22 |
25.71 |
-9.51 |
60.92 |
65.25% |
L 30-34 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-13 |
Syracuse |
29.87 |
27.03 |
-2.84 |
56.91 |
54.55% |
L 17-24 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@California |
22.23 |
32.05 |
+9.81 |
54.28 |
34.26% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
Stanford |
33.37 |
18.58 |
-14.79 |
51.95 |
73.72% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Duke |
24.53 |
27.62 |
+3.08 |
52.15 |
45.05% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-22 |
@Georgia Tech |
27.31 |
33.19 |
+5.89 |
60.50 |
40.56% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@North Carolina |
33.52 |
40.51 |
+6.98 |
74.03 |
38.80% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
3.44% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
19.05% |
3.44% |
96.56% |
| 5-7 |
34.65% |
22.49% |
77.52% |
| 6-6 |
29.42% |
57.14% |
42.86% |
| 7-5 |
11.68% |
86.56% |
13.44% |
| 8-4 |
1.76% |
98.24% |
1.76% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.31% |
| 3-9 |
2.06% |
| 4-8 |
7.55% |
| 5-7 |
16.66% |
| 6-6 |
24.67% |
| 7-5 |
24.20% |
| 8-4 |
15.69% |
| 9-3 |
6.83% |
| 10-2 |
1.71% |
| 11-1 |
0.30% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |